Delivering a long-term transition risk assessment for energy projects

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Delivering a long-term transition risk assessment for energy projects

Analytics for an export credit agency

The challenge

Energy projects impact the long-term energy mix of host countries. A key objective for export credit agencies (ECAs) is to ensure that the energy projects they support comply with the requirements of, for example, the Paris Agreement, which requires in-depth knowledge of country-specific commitments and scenarios.

Risk mitigation is a challenge, as the client must assess whether the projects are economically viable based on carbon shadow prices. In addition, gathering and analysing the data from ground-up is difficult and time-consuming.
 

The solution

Swiss Re’s expertise on climate and sustainability for the insurance industry was combined with our expertise in quantitative analysis to deliver analytics consulting services to an EMEA-based ECA.

The services include the integration of large global data sources on climate, energy and economic trends and can be enriched with proprietary CO2 emission models, also leveraged for managing our own business.

A detailed report was provided for each assessed project as well as the corresponding market, looking into the CO2 emission profile of the project and alignment with a country’s emission targets.

The impact

  • 42 scenarios were analysed for seven key energy projects, covering the main emitters in the client’s portfolio.​

  • The entire analysis and all reports were completed within one month by Swiss Re’s in-house analytics teams.​

  • The approach can be replicated for other projects and portfolios to assess current and future impacts and transition considerations.​

Contact us Interested in finding out more? Get in touch to learn how we can work together.

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