Despite immediate challenges, let's stay focused on our long-term goal: Combating climate change
Disruptions following the war in Ukraine are rippling across the globe. Many countries are reacting by scrambling to secure alternative fossil fuel supplies amid turbulence in international relations. But as nations seek near-term solutions for immediate energy challenges, it’s important that they don’t lose sight of the crucial long-term goal of transitioning the global economy to net-zero.
The supply chain disruptions that started with the pandemic have been worsened by the war in Ukraine with food and gasoline prices skyrocketing. The conflict is hitting energy markets, too, with officials from Europe and elsewhere shuttling between countries and making new friends to strike deals for alternative fossil fuel sources. An inflationary recession is now a distinct possibility.
Despite the obvious need for some short-term fixes, it does not change our generational challenge, combating climate change. The re/insurance industry must continue to play its role in helping facilitate the long-term shift to non-emitting energy sources, even as countries adjust their near- and medium-term tactics to address their most pressing economic priorities.
The re/insurance industry must continue to play its role in helping facilitate the long-term shift to non-emitting energy sources, even as countries adjust their near- and medium-term tactics to address their most pressing economic priorities.
More than climate mitigation
The benefits of renewable, locally sourced, sustainable power go beyond mitigating climate change. A shift to renewables offers opportunities for countries to take their energy destinies into their own hands and potentially boost their ability to navigate accelerating geopolitical complexity. Renewable energy, often "near-shored," can be the basis of stronger economies, creating jobs and underpinning growth for nations and companies that embrace it.
Swiss Re has committed itself to this sustainable trajectory. We have established ambitious climate targets, with commitments to reduce the carbon intensity of our investments, phase out thermal coal from our re/insurance activities and work with clients in the oil and gas sectors to help them, and ourselves, on the shared journey to net-zero carbon emissions.
Last year, we signed the world’s first long-term purchase agreement for direct air capture and storage of carbon dioxide, worth USD 10 million over ten years, with the Switzerland-based company Climeworks. Additionally, at the most recent World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, we announced our participation in the NextGen CDR facility that will purchase more than one million tonnes of verified carbon dioxide removals by 2025.
We're working with clients to identify their climate-related exposures and providing underwriting risk insights via proprietary re/insurance solutions, like our Climate Risk Score Framework and CatNet geo risk tool.
We also provide risk transfer solutions for green and clean energy investments, such as wind and solar projects, which are projected to grow 30% over the next decade. Our aim is to enable an orderly transition to a low-carbon society capable of withstanding future shocks. Through 2021, Swiss Re has written re/insurance for nearly 9,000 wind and solar farms that are expected to help avoid over 29 million tonnes of carbon-dioxide emissions that would otherwise come from conventional energy production.
Urgent messages
This is a start, but we must do more. Our climate is sending us urgent messages about the perils of not acting.
This July marks the sombre anniversary of the 2021 flooding in Europe, where an unprecedented deluge on already saturated soils developed floods that wiped out entire neighbourhoods in German and Belgian towns.
Scientists have said climate change may have contributed to the severity of winter storms this February in Northwestern Europe, by intensifying rainfall and storm surges. May's heavy rains and flooding in South Africa, which also killed hundreds of people, are also being attributed, at least in part, to climate change. Italy is coming off one of its driest winters in decades, while Spain and France have experienced record high temperatures in May and June.
Despite these warning signs, the Paris Climate Agreement's goal of limiting global warming to around 1.5 degrees Celsius is in jeopardy as greenhouse gas concentrations rise to record levels. We must change course. As Swiss Re's Economics of Climate Change report showed, the world stands to lose at least 11% of global GDP from climate change if 2050 net-zero carbon emission goals aren't met.
Insurance for immediate and long-term threats
The time is now - this is why the short- and medium-term push by nations to secure new fossil fuel resources must remain merely a bridge to a more sustainable future where we rely on renewable power like solar, wind and hydroelectricity. International organisations, including the United Nations, have recognised this, as it warns against losing sight of climate-change goals as we hunt for short-term fixes.
Despite these worries, I remain optimistic. With our risk knowledge and risk transfer solutions, we are well placed to support clients, and society, in managing not only immediate risks but also the longer-term, existential ones like global warming. We all must keep this in focus, even when the urgent crises of the day compete for our attention.
I believe re/insurers, including Swiss Re, are uniquely placed to act as a shock absorber in times of crisis. With our ability to collect data about our changing planet, analyse it and translate our conclusions into actionable intelligence, we have the capacity to look beyond the threats of the moment to contribute to the shaping of not only our own destinies, but those of generations to come.
Further Information
Cautionary note on forward-looking statements
Certain statements and illustrations contained herein are forward-looking. These statements (including as to plans, objectives, targets, and trends) and illustrations provide current expectations of future events based on certain assumptions and include any statement that does not directly relate to a historical fact or current fact.
Forward-looking statements typically are identified by words or phrases such as “anticipate”, “target”, “aim”, “assume”, “believe”, “continue”, “estimate”, “expect”, “foresee”, “intend”, “may increase”, “may fluctuate” and similar expressions, or by future or conditional verbs such as “will”, “should”, “would” and “could”. These forward-looking statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors, which may cause the Group’s actual results of operations, financial condition, solvency ratios, capital or liquidity positions or prospects to be materially different from any future results of operations, financial condition, solvency ratios, capital or liquidity positions or prospects expressed or implied by such statements or cause Swiss Re to not achieve its published targets. Such factors include, among others:
- the frequency, severity and development of insured claim events, particularly natural catastrophes, man- made disasters, pandemics, acts of terrorism or acts of war, including the ongoing war in Ukraine and any associated governmental and other measures such as sanctions, expropriations and seizures of assets as well as the economic consequences of the foregoing;
- mortality, morbidity and longevity experience;
- the cyclicality of the reinsurance sector;
- central bank intervention in the financial markets, trade wars or other protectionist measures relating to international trade arrangements, adverse geopolitical events, domestic political upheavals or other developments that adversely impact global economic conditions;
- increased volatility of, and/or disruption in, global capital and credit markets;
- the Group’s ability to maintain sufficient liquidity and access to capital markets, including sufficient liquidity to cover potential recapture of reinsurance agreements, early calls of debt or debt-like arrangements and collateral calls due to actual or perceived deterioration of the Group’s financial strength or otherwise;
- the Group’s inability to realize amounts on sales of securities on the Group’s balance sheet equivalent to their values recorded for accounting purposes;
- the Group’s inability to generate sufficient investment income from its investment portfolio, including as a result of fluctuations in the equity and fixed income markets, the composition of the investment portfolio or otherwise;
- changes in legislation and regulation, including changes in regulation related to environmental, social and governance (“ESG”) matters, or the interpretations thereof by regulators and courts, affecting the Group or its ceding companies, including as a result of comprehensive reform or shifts away from multilateral approaches to regulation of global operations;
- the Group’s ability to fully achieve one or more of its ESG or sustainability goals or to fully comply with applicable ESG or sustainability standards;
- matters negatively affecting the reputation of the Group, its board of directors or its management, including matters relating to ESG or sustainability, such as allegations of greenwashing, lack of diversity and similar allegations;
- the lowering or loss of one of the financial strength or other ratings of one or more companies in the Group, and developments adversely affecting its ability to achieve improved ratings;
- uncertainties in estimating reserves, including differences between actual claims experience and underwriting and reserving assumptions;
- policy renewal and lapse rates;
- uncertainties in estimating future claims for purposes of financial reporting, particularly with respect to large natural catastrophes, certain large man-made losses, including the ongoing war in Ukraine, and social inflation litigation, as significant uncertainties may be involved in estimating losses from such events and preliminary estimates may be subject to change as new information becomes available;
- legal actions or regulatory investigations or actions, including in respect of industry requirements or business conduct rules of general applicability, the intensity and frequency of which may also increase as a result of social inflation;
- the outcome of tax audits, the ability to realize tax loss carryforwards and the ability to realize deferred tax assets (including by reason of the mix of earnings in a jurisdiction or deemed change of control), which could negatively impact future earnings, and the overall impact of changes in tax regimes on the Group’s business model;
- changes in accounting estimates or assumptions that affect reported amounts of assets, liabilities, revenues or expenses, including contingent assets and liabilities;
- changes in accounting standards, practices or policies, including the contemplated adoption of IFRS;
- strengthening or weakening of foreign currencies;
- reforms of, or other potential changes to, benchmark reference rates;
- failure of the Group’s hedging arrangements to be effective;
- significant investments, acquisitions or dispositions, and any delays, unforeseen liabilities or other costs, lower-than-expected benefits, impairments, ratings action or other issues experienced in connection with any such transactions;
- extraordinary events affecting the Group’s clients and other counterparties, such as bankruptcies,
- liquidations and other credit-related events;
- changing levels of competition;
- the effects of business disruption due to terrorist attacks, cyberattacks, natural catastrophes, public health emergencies, hostilities or other events;
- limitations on the ability of the Group’s subsidiaries to pay dividends or make other distributions; and
- operational factors, including the efficacy of risk management and other internal procedures in anticipating and managing the foregoing risks.
These factors are not exhaustive. Swiss Re operates in a continually changing environment and new risks emerge continually. Readers are cautioned not to place undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Swiss Re undertakes no obligation to publicly revise or update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise.
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